Can Obama recover? *UPDATED*

I was thinking about the fact that, despite the disastrous start the Clinton administration had (”Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”; Hillary Care), Clinton nevertheless managed to pull out a two term presidency.  That thought, inevitably, led to me asking myself whether Obama can do the same.  I don’t think so, for two specific reasons.

First, Clinton’s health care debacle didn’t have his name attached to it.  It was his wife who had the ignominy of having a completely failed policy initiative named after her:  “Hillary Care.”  While voters, in 1996, may have remembered the whole legislative flail, they didn’t have it engraved in their mind as “Clinton Care.”  Hillary took the heat.  Here, however, if one assumes (as I do) that Obama Care is heading for history’s trash heap (although I’m sure that, Frankenstein-like, some decaying parts will be resurrected to our cost), the historic takeaway will be the tight association with Obama.  It wasn’t just any old generic health care plan that horribly frightened Americans, divided Democrats, and tanked Obama’s numbers.  Instead, it was Obama Care that did all this.

To give you an idea of the importance of those strong word associations, I can still sing quickly and easily all the commercial jingles from my childhood (Oscar Mayer, McDonald’s, Armour Hot Dogs, etc.), because those words have sunk so deeply into my brain they are locked in.  I think the same will hold true for Obama Care, which will be forever linked with failure.

Second, people knew who Clinton was when he came to the White House.  They did not buy a pig in a poke when they elected him.  His failures (many) and successes (many), his charm (open and ebullient) and his corruption (constant), were all before the public eye.  The guy had a track record.  We heard about his grades and his Oxford year.  We knew his wacky brother and his scary wife.  His Arkansas governorship was analyzed inside and out.  And Lord, did that man talk.  His every speech was a combination of policy wonkery and self-confessional.  Democratic or Republican, pro or con, none of us were surprised with Bill.  Nor was it a surprise when, suffering serious Congressional setbacks in 1994, Bill immediately tacked to the middle.  The man wanted to to be loved, and would do what it took to stay that way.

The opposite is true of Obama.  When Americans elected him, no one knew who he was.  No one from his past came forward to speak of him, his educational accomplishments were (and are) under wraps, he had no record of executive accomplishments, and he explicitly lied about a number of things, such as his supposedly moderate politics and his great love for the State of Israel.   The media sang Hallelujahs about intangible things such as brilliance, charm, grace and an even-temper, but Obama was so carefully scripted that we never saw those traits tested.  Sure, those of us who were suspicious made guesses about him because of his friends (and you know the list, headed by Wright and Ayers, and just continuing onwards forever), but we still knew nothing about the man.  And unlike Bill, Obama wasn’t spilling.  This is not a man given to using the podium as the confessional.

All of which means that, when Bill’s failures came, those who knew him (which was everyone) either forgave him or said “I told you so.”  No Americans shouted, “We’ve been tricked and betrayed.”  The case is entirely different with Obama.  The past seven months have proven him to be the opposite of everything we were promised.  He’s a radical politician and a lousy executive.  He’s pig ignorant about everything from history to economics.  His charm melts away with the signed basketballs his Obama-ness hands out as gifts, sure that others will be as impressed by him as he is by himself.  He’s hostile to our allies, most notably Israel, and, as the apology tour showed, hostile to us too.  Whether you love what he’s trying to do or hate it, there is no doubt that he is nothing like the man sold to us in 2008.

People hate being played for fools.  We allowed Clinton to hunker down and retrench his policies to be more centrist because we always knew who and what he was, and just figured that he’d learned his lesson.  Obama, though, has lied to us at a very profound level.  Even if he retrenches, I doubt any of us will be able to trust that “he’s learned his lesson” because we know that he lies, and lies, and lies again.  And he doesn’t just lie about facts extraneous to himself (although he sure does a lot of that too), he lies about himself.  Voters will not, I think, forgive that kind of profound betrayal.

UPDATE:  Before I get accused of rose-colored glasses and hubris here, let me say that I’m completely in sync with Andrew McCarthy who writes that, Obama’s behavior notwithstanding, we conservatives are still perfectly capable of shooting ourselves in the foot.  The 2010 election wouldn’t be the first time a group snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

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8 Responses to “Can Obama recover? *UPDATED*”

  1. [...] Can Obama recover? *UPDATED* [...]

  2. on 21 Aug 2009 at 10:11 am Danny Lemieux

    The media sang Hallelujahs about intangible things such as brilliance, charm, grace and an even-temper, but Obama was so carefully scripted that we never saw those traits tested.

    I believe that Obama is his own worst enemy. Unlike Clinton, he’s not a personable figure and there is an ugly side that he struggles vainly to keep buried under his exterior. The more he gets challenged, the more that ugly side will emerge. None of his supposed virtues highlighted in the quote above was ever verified, much less tested. I think that his image (and that of the fawning MSM) will rapidly collapse once people reexamine him and realize that there was no there there.

    Also, I suspect that Obama will be subjected to a very strong test of character, probably involving a foreign policy crisis, and that (unlike Bush) he will fail that test. This could make him even more ineffective.

    That being said, I truly believe that Obama is a sock puppet. Whatever happens to Obama’s image, it is those other people (Emanuel, the Chicago Combine, Soros, et al) behind him about whom we should be worried. They won’t just roll over.

  3. on 21 Aug 2009 at 10:20 am suek

    Interesting analysis. Remember too, that the Clinton health care bill was defeated partially because of the change in party majority in Congress. Another reason it didn’t stick to Bill. This time, it’s going to belong to the Dems, part and parcel. I’m not sure what effect that will have, but if it’s defeated, it’s going to be because Dems defeat it – GOPers just don’t have the power. I _think_ that means that if the Dems lose the majority in 2010 (and I agree, it’s not a given by any means), _they_ will lay it directly at the feet of Obama, and may not even consider him for nomination in 2012.

    Now…thinking about that. Let’s say the bigwigs in the Dem party advise O that they will not support him in 2012. Who else do they have? Hillary? Dean? Anyone else? Suppose that O pushes back…what then? Is there enough in the blackmail files to get him nominated if the big guys in the smoke-filled back room decide against him? It seems as if in 2008 the big guys were in favor of Hillary – or did it just look that way? He pulled off a major upset because he bussed in supporters in states where they had caucuses instead of primaries – this time they’ll be wise to his methods.

    Hmmmm. I never was all that good at chess…!

  4. on 21 Aug 2009 at 10:36 am suek

    A couple of good articles at America’s Right today…

    http://www.americasright.com/2009/08/downside-of-being-held-accountable.html

    Then this one – not totally on topic, but still

    http://www.americasright.com/2009/08/you-say-tomato-i-say-public-option.html

  5. on 21 Aug 2009 at 12:56 pm roylofquist

    Ah, the Oscar Mayer wiener song. The version I sing to my grand kids is slightly different than the original. The last line goes “’cause if you were an Oscar Mayer wiener, we wouldn’t have to go to the store for a week”.

    As to this post – stingingly accurate.

  6. on 21 Aug 2009 at 3:32 pm socratease

    I don’t know, media coverage counts for a lot in an election, and the media are totally in the tank for Obama. We can expect they will trash any serious contender on the Republican side, enough to make their treatment of Governor Palin look like a pillow fight, rather than allow the election to prove they were wrong about their favorite President.

    Personally, Obama makes me think of the politician character in The Dead Zone.

  7. on 21 Aug 2009 at 3:49 pm Ymarsakar

    The baby shield one?

  8. [...] sends shivers of revulsion up and down their spines.  (There’s also the problem, as I’ve noted before, that, unlike Bill Clinton, who was able to escape some of the taint of “HillaryCare,” [...]

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