Watch the Democratic dominoes fall *UPDATED*

There is a lot of talk about whether, looking ahead to the 2010 elections, we’re looking at 1980, or 1994, or 1932 or some other American political year that I can’t even think of right now.  I actually think we’re looking at a different year altogether:  1989.  As you may recall, 1989 was a big year.  While Obama can’t be bothered to get his sorry self over to Berlin, that was the year the Berlin Wall fell.  That was the year the former Soviet Union imploded.  That was the end of the 70+ year long European Communist experiment.  It was a big deal.

What made 1989 a really big deal was that nobody in the establishment saw it coming.  As far as the realpolitik types were concerned (and the liberals, and the media), Communism was a rock solid, all-powerful entity.  In their world view, we were going to be in a perpetual stalemate with our Cold War enemy, because we were all equally weak and equally strong.  On college campuses we were also told that the European Communists really weren’t all that bad and, Rodney King-like, we should just all learn to get along.

Except that this controlling paradigm was anything but true.  European Communism was rotten to the core.  Its people were prisoners, but the prison walls were beginning to collapse under their own weight.  The government managed economies were completely unsustainable.  This internal rot mean that the external pressure the Ronald Reagan placed on those inefficient, dysfunctional economies, coupled with his relentless cheerleading for freedom, brought the whole festering edifice crumbling down.

What was so amazing about the crumble was the speed with which it happened.  If any of us had thought about it, we would have said that European Communism would slowly diminish over the years and the decades.  None of us envisioned the almost instantaneous collapse that occurred.  We oldsters remember that magic moment when the Berlin Wall, an overwhelming physical symbol of the Cold War, simply vanished.  Gone.

Up until about August 2009, conventional wisdom was that the liberal juggernaut was unstoppable.  Under the guidance of the God-like Obama, progressive liberalism was a rock solid, all-powerful entity.  Charles Krauthammer argues that Tuesday put the lie to that fairy tale:

In the aftermath of last year’s Obama sweep, we heard endlessly about its fundamental, revolutionary, transformational nature. How it was ushering in an FDR-like realignment for the 21st century in which new demographics — most prominently, rising minorities and the young — would bury the GOP far into the future. One book proclaimed “The Death of Conservatism,” while the more modest merely predicted the terminal decline of the Republican Party into a regional party of the Deep South or a rump party of marginalized angry white men.

This was all ridiculous from the beginning. 2008 was a historical anomaly. A uniquely charismatic candidate was running at a time of deep war weariness, with an intensely unpopular Republican president, against a politically incompetent opponent, amid the greatest financial collapse since the Great Depression. And still he won by only seven points.

Exactly a year later comes the empirical validation of that skepticism. Virginia — presumed harbinger of the new realignment, having gone Democratic in ’08 for the first time in 44 years — went red again. With a vengeance. Barack Obama had carried it by six points. The Republican gubernatorial candidate won by 17 — a 23-point swing. New Jersey went from plus 15 Democratic in 2008 to minus 4 in 2009. A 19-point swing.

Ah,” say the skeptics (and Nancy Pelosi).   “You’re just looking at two elections.  That means nothing.”  Well, that may be true.  Except that Riehl World notes that Democratic politicians in more conservative communities are abandoning the sinking liberal ship.  And they’re not slowly abandoning it but, instead, are swiftly heading for the life boats in en masse departures:

Seven Simpson County officials have switched from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party.

District Attorney Eddie Bowen, Sheriff Kenneth Lewis, Supervisor Mickey Berry, Justice Court Judge Eugene Knight, Constable Dan Easterling and D’Lo Alderman Michael Shoemaker made the announcement at the Republican Party headquarters in Jackson today.

“I’m just more of a conservative person,” Berry said.

I don’t track elections the way more savvy political observers do.  But I know a trend and can recognize a historic pattern when I see one — and I’m betting that 2009 is going to be the Democratic equivalent of 1989 for the European Communists.  Not only is the Party over, but it’s going to crater with mind-boggling speed.

That doesn’t mean we’re out of the woods, of course.  Even a damaged party, and a badly damaged party at that, can inflict plenty of wounds on the American economy.  Worse, with Obama in the driver’s seat for at least another three years, we can expect our foreign policy and our national security to continue to swing wildly into danger zones.  With or without Congress and the American people at his back, a hubristic Barack Obama is going to continue his bizarre foreign policy of bowing to dictators, offending friends, and turning his back on the hard work of keeping safe both Americans at home and American troops abroad.

UPDATE:  I’m not the only one who sees lessons in 1989.  Bruce Kesler also thinks it’s an important year for us to look back upon and learn from, with the Berlin Wall as the lesson’s centerpiece.

Cross-posted at Right Wing News

Be Sociable, Share!
  • Pingback: Maggie's Farm()

  • JKB

    Well, the freshman democrats are concerned that they’ll get to experience Obamacare firsthand since they won’t have vested in the tax payer supported cadillac plan of Congress.  So they’ll have to pay up or go to jail.  And we know how much democrats like to pay their taxes.

  • http://www.watcherofweasels.org/ The Watcher

    What great insights. It is important to tie Pelosi and Obama at the hip. While I’m not sure who is the bigger liar it is clear that Pelosi is the more despised of the two.

    Listening to her try and spin the 2009 elections as some sort of win for Democrats was amazing. I heard a collective groan from every single lib and political observer that I spoke with.

    I especially love Krauthammer’s golden paragraph:

    2008 was a historical anomaly. A uniquely charismatic candidate was running at a time of deep war weariness, with an intensely unpopular Republican president, against a politically incompetent opponent, amid the greatest financial collapse since the Great Depression. And still he won by only seven points.

    Another funny thing is when I searched Pelosi on Google and came up with the following:

    Resolved Question When is Nancy Pelosi up for re-election?I want to donate a lot of money to her opponent. * 9 months ago Best Answer – Chosen by Asker 2 years and so do I

    The Democrats are committing political suicide. They want to blame the crazy right wing fringe and talk radio for their latest hard times but we know better. Rather than reflect what is looking into it, the mirror of the vain ideologue simply reflects what that they think of themselves.  Their blind allegiance to radical ideas and far left notions, combined with the out of touch attitudes created by spending too much time in their protective shells in Washington, has clouded their thought process.

    Long live one way mirrors!

  • Deana

    Your posts the last several days have been terrific!  Spot on.
    I do hope you are right about 2010.  Still, I can’t help but be worried about some of the Republicans.  I am just so angry at them.  They seem perfectly hapless.  If they win, it won’t be because most have shown courage and leadership – it will be because there is no alternative.
    Please understand I am not arguing for the development of a 3rd party.  I’d love to see Republicans return to true conservatism but they seem unable to mount an effective response to Obama.  That’s scary – at times, he’s the easiest target but they don’t rise to the occasion.
    Anyway, thanks for the great posts.
     
     
     

  • suek

    This is kind of an addendum…not relevant, but still relevant.  Although the first third of the article is my primary concern – free speech for bloggers – the rest of the article may be of interest just from the sense of knowing what kind of fraud is going on.  And of course, the final irony – attempting to close down the whistleblower instead of the cheater.    You know – I posted a link to the Arpaio problem because of this sort of thing – where the law somehow gets twisted to harm those it’s supposed to protect.  I don’t know that the Arpaio thing falls into that category, but I think it’s possible (I have to say I _hope_ that’s the case).  If the courts become the enemy of the people it’s supposed to protect, we have a real problem.
     
    http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/11/bloggers-right-to-free-speech-and-use.html

  • SADIE

    suek..this one is for you (economics) the comments are worth reading since they are just as telling and just as scary.
    http://johnbatchelorshow.com/jb/2009/11/jobless-next-six-months/

  • Charles Martel

    I don’t really have anything to say here, I just wanted to see my name next to an avatar. It’s the best I’ve ever looked in long hair and a skirt.

  • SADIE

    Not true, you just said it all  (giggle giggle).
    As to avatars..any suggestions for POTUS?

  • http://bookwormroom.com Bookworm

    Hmm.  I wonder why you’re all showing up as me, beautiful me!

  • BrianE

    Is this like matching jackets?

    My wife always wanted matching jackets.

  • SADIE

    Book, you got your days mixed up – Wasn’t it on the 6th day …..
    I WANT MY OWN AVATAR!

  • Pingback: » Bookworm Room » Watch the Democratic Dominoes Fall Consolidation Reduction()

  • Pingback: Watcher of Weasels » Watcher’s Council Nominations, Veteran’s Day Edition()

  • Pingback: Right Truth()

  • Pingback: Watcher of Weasels » The Council Has Spoken…Jihad Comes To America With A Venegance()

  • Pingback: Rhymes With Right()