Anyone want to start a betting pool as to the date on which Israel bombs Iran?

So Obama did it — he gave Iran permission to go ahead with its nuclear program and gave the mullahs $4.2 billion of our tax dollars with which to do it.  I foresee an Israeli strike as inevitable.  Any bets as to when it will happen?  Also, any side bets as to which Middle Eastern countries facilitate Israel’s attack?  I’ve certainly got my money on Saudi Arabia.

In a peculiar way — a very peculiar way — Obama’s bought a simulacrum of peace to the Middle East.

Barack Obama:  the man who made Jimmy Carter look good.

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  • http://OgBlog.net Earl

     
    I think the $4 Billion is Iranian dough that was frozen in U.S. (and other?) banks as part of the sanctions regime.  If that’s so, then it isn’t U.S. taxpayer dollars……

  • SADIE

    I fell asleep for a few hours on the sofa with the TV on. I got up just as a voice was droning on and on about negotiations in Geneva. I thought, OMG, I woke up in 1994…
     
    Oct. 19, 1994
    WASHINGTON — President Clinton on Tuesday approved a deal reached by U.S. negotiators in Geneva to stop North Korea’s nuclear weapons program, saying the agreement “will make the United States, the Korean peninsula and the world safer.”
    Clearly delighted by what he considers a victory for his foreign policy, the President appeared before television cameras to hail the agreement as “the first step on the road to a nuclear-free Korean peninsula.”
     
     

  • Matt_SE

    I hope the bombing date is something symbolic for Iran, like the day of the revolution. Islamists are always pulling that shit on us; time to return the favor.

  • http://vinnysrants.blogspot.com vinny

    Wishful thinking on your part, I’m afraid.  I don’t think Israel will make a move now that the US has joined a listf hostile countries.

  • http://ymarsakar.wordpress.com Ymarsakar

    So the Left is allied with Islamic Jihad, right?

  • Mike Devx

    I don’t know that I would call the calm before the storm “peace”.
     
    On the horizon, thunder and lightning and huge masses of black clouds building and building.  Barometric pressure starting to plunge.  But right now… where you stand in your backyard, looking straight up at the sky… it is quiet and windless and the skies directly above are still mostly blue.  Peace?
     
     

  • http://www.amazon.com/Occupy-Innsmouth-ebook/dp/B009WWJ44A/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1361504109&amp raymondjelli

    I don’t think Israel can bomb it.  If they could have they would have done so already. Geneva was inevitable. A President who hugs the Muslim Brotherhood is a truly evil man. If Israel does bomb it the US may force Israel to pay Iran reparations or more likely pay Iran the reparations out of its own pocket as a way to make Israel a permanent enemy of the US. I do think we will see some assassinations of Iranian and Hezbollah leaders. There is now plenty of Moslems who have a stake in getting some payback to the Muslim Brotherhood and the opposition in Iran still exists and wants a piece of the ruling party. We can expect a lot of payback. Well maybe we can hope for a lot of payback.

  • Charles Martel

    I think Israel has been holding out hope that the US would not take this final awful step of approving of and facilitating Iran’s development of a nuclear weapon. Now that it has, Israel has no choice: It’s bomb Iran or face annihilation.
     
    While it was holding out for the US to come to its senses, Israel was most likely using the time to create alliances with Arab states and gather more intelligence about the location and state of Iranian labs and nuke facilities. Israel doesn’t have to find all of Iran’s weapons-making sites to create mayhem. I think the Israelis will also focus on Iran’s military facilities, especially Revolutionary Guard bases. If you cripple the mullahs’ ability to wage conventional warfare—especially on their own people—or protect vital sites, it could destabilize the regime. Better to have those savage minds trying to keep things together at home than plotting how to kill Jews.
     
    If the Iranians retaliate by trying to block the Strait of Hormuz, even the sissy in the White House will have to don big-boy pants. The U.S. Navy certainly has long-held contingency plans for wiping out every military asset the Iranians have along the Persian Gulf. Oh, The Great Liar will bluster and fret about those perfidious Hebrews forcing his hand, but he’ll have to do something. And that something, as much he’ll hate the thought, will help Israel.

  • Mike Devx

    I do not believe that Obama, Iranian-born Valerie Jarrett, Muslim Brotherhood conspirator Huma Abedin, and Israel-hater Susan Rice, and the rest of this crew, actually *wish* to see millions of Israelis dead in a nuclear genocide.  I don’t go that far.
     
    I do believe that they all see Israeli “aggression” as the key problem in the Middle East.  They all view the establishment of Israel by the U.N. in 1947 (?) as a tragic mistake that modern events will shortly undo.  Obama, at least, grew up educated in a foreign madrassa where you’d better believe that the worthiness of a worldwide umma was drilled into his head.
     
    And they all suffer from overwhelming hubris – especially a belief that they can control events in that region.
     
    I believe their goal is to create such danger for the state of Israel that the vast majority of Israelis will emigrate the hell out of there.  And that that will cause the collapse of the Israeli state, and the emigration, then, of all remaining Israelis.  The creation of a Palestinian state controlling all of Israel.  A Muslim umma covering all of the Middle East and North Africa, a condition they all believe to be both justified and inevitable.
     
    They probably have an unstated goal of ensuring that by January 2017, when Obama must leave office, that they will have maneuvered events such that all of this is practically inevitable.  A convincing, near-total Israeli victory over Iran, with the help of any nearby state actors, would not help such a plan – therefore I am convinced that the Obama administration will not allow Israel to succeed in any attack on Iran.  They won’t allow it.  And they have a lot of ways to threaten Israel, and to make life miserable for Israeli leaders.  It won’t be done publicly, by the way…
     
    And just as with the shenanigans with “Middle East Policy” and the covert arms shipments that led to the Benghazi monstrosity, in thier vast hubris they will totally screw it up.  In the chaos resulting from their inevitable screw-ups of attempting to manage the disappearance of Israel, there’s no telling what will really then happen.  The worst, of course, is that the Mad Mullahs in Iran maneuver successfully through events, and that the Mad Mullahs get to put their fondest dreams into action, and nuclear mushroom clouds explode over Tel Aviv, Haifa, and other Israeli cities.  If that happens, what of Obama?  He’ll just go golfing, and sleep very well at night.

  • Matt_SE

    I sometimes wonder if I’m off-kilter; I am actually hoping Israel uses nukes on Iran’s sites.
    I would totally support that. It would send a couple of messages:
    1) Don’t fuck with Israel
    2) Obama can shove it up his ass.
     
    Of course, it probably won’t happen because of the international “outrage” and such. *sigh*

  • Duchess of Austin

    You know, I can’t help thinking of all the uberliberal, east and west coast Jews that voted for Obama being somewhat responsible for this.  They helped to put this fool in office and if Iran makes a parking lot out of Israel then all that blood is on their hands and they should be called out for it.  Personally, I hope the Israelis make the first move and bomb the bejeesus out of the Iranians.  Perhaps if enough of their rank and file, regular citizens (who may not really want to collect their virgins) get bombed, they will take it upon themselves to usher in a new government.
     
    It’s funny, if Carter had just hung on and supported the Shah (who was eaten up with terminal cancer), his very Western oriented son would have inherited the Peacock Throne a couple years later and today Iran would be an ally, not an enemy.
     
    Why the HELL do Jews vote liberal?  Seems to me that it’s counterintuitive.  I just don’t get it.
     
    I’m waiting for the comparisons of Obama to Neville Chamberlain….

  • Charles Martel

    One thing people seem to forget about the Samson Option is that any country that is Israel’s enemy could be a target. The Israelis accept that it would take only one or two atomic weapons to pretty much wipe out their country. Now that the United States is slipping into the role of an enemy of Israel, do the geniuses who run this country think it is beyond Israel’s ability to lob submarine-launched nukes at us or sneak suitcase bombs across our porous borders as a last-gasp payback? 

  • http://ymarsakar.wordpress.com Ymarsakar

    Many countries have fallen because of American power and votes.
     
    Americans seem to think they will never face the consequences of the policies executed by their politicians. Eventually though, the bullet has to come back to earth.
     
     

  • roylofquist

    People seem to have forgotten Israel’s submarine fleet.
     
    http://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/israel-submarine-capabilities/
     
    They could be used as a first strike conventional weapon to take out the air defenses or for a nuclear strike with sub-kiloton warheads. Or maybe both.
     
     

  • http://photoncourier.blogspot.com David Foster

    One thing that should be noted: most people probably think that 5% enriched uranium is a long was from the 90% enrichment required for nuclear weapons. It is not, in terms of the level of effort /centrifuge capacity /energy required. Enrichment to 5% is at least 2/3 of the way there…this is basically because the amount of material that must be handled is much greater at the early stages of the process.
     
    I have not seen any media or blog discussion of this rather important point, with the exception of this PowerLine post and the referenced American Enterprise Institute chart.

  • http://ymarsakar.wordpress.com Ymarsakar

    Americans have enough problems figuring out how their microwaves and toilets work. Nuclear enrichment is a rich man’s luxury, from their perspective.
     
    Even though to individuals and humans with free will, knowledge is merely knowledge, there is no class limitation.