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<channel>
	<title>Bookworm Room &#187; Economy</title>
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	<description>Conservatives deal with facts and reach conclusions; liberals have conclusions and sell them as facts.</description>
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		<title>Figuring out the subtext in Obama&#8217;s SOTU</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/25/figuring-out-the-subtext-in-obamas-sotu/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/25/figuring-out-the-subtext-in-obamas-sotu/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 04:39:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bookworm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judge Clark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOTU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State of the Union]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Clark S. Judge sent to Hugh Hewitt a great note analyzing what Obama really said during the SOTU.  I&#8217;m going to do something here that I almost never do, which is to reprint the note in its entirety at my own blog, albeit reformatted from the original.  Why?  Because the paragraph breaks vanished at Hugh [...]]]></description>
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<p>Clark S. Judge sent to Hugh Hewitt a great note analyzing <a href="http://www.hughhewitt.com/blog/g/e2246a52-4d7b-4e44-8f2c-6e8206fc8453" target="_blank">what Obama really said during the SOTU</a>.  I&#8217;m going to do something here that I almost never do, which is to reprint the note in its entirety at my own blog, albeit reformatted from the original.  Why?  Because the paragraph breaks vanished at Hugh Hewitt&#8217;s site, making it very difficult for those of us who are struggling with glasses versus computer glasses versus bifocals to read the darn thing:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>SOTU: Did I hear that right?</strong></p>
<p><em>By Clark S. Judge: managing director, White House Writers Group, Inc.; chairman, Pacific Research Institute.</em></p>
<p>It sounded like such a soft, even conservative speech.</p>
<p>But let me get this straight:</p>
<p>1) banks will be punished (do I understand this right, by a committee headed by Eric Holder?) if their lending is too risky,</p>
<p>2) and they will be required (by the same committee) to give more home loans (meaning, it must be, to people who would otherwise not qualify for the loans, or else the government would not have to be involved) at lower rates (which means rates that do not compensate them as much as the market says they need to be compensated for the risks they are taking, all of which sounds like a new edition of the policies that brought on the financial collapse),</p>
<p>3) which must mean that they will have to pull back on risky lending someplace other than homes,</p>
<p>4) the only place that most banks would be able to pull back on riskier customers would be loans to small and new businesses,</p>
<p>5) but these are the businesses that have created just about all the jobs over the last 20 years and he said early in the speech he wants to encourage them,</p>
<p>6) so maybe their growth capital will come from selling stock to the kinds of people who invest in new and small businesses,</p>
<p>7) but through the Buffet Rule he’s going to double the tax rate on investment income for those people, meaning that, like the banks, they can’t be fully compensated for the risk of backing small and new businesses,</p>
<p> <img src='http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> so they will not invest more in small and new companies but in big established firms,</p>
<p>9) so more of those small and new firms will have to turn to the government for capital,</p>
<p>10) which luckily he said would up its investing in early stage businesses with “the best” ideas,</p>
<p>11) “the best” ideas meaning, I guess, as with Solyndra, ideas that advance his agenda through companies whose owners support his candidacy),</p>
<p>11.2) or maybe it would be companies that agree to invite unionization (since the unions have failed to organize the new and dynamic sectors of the economy, which is why they have been shrinking),</p>
<p>12) but then with the big businesses, he wants to punish American companies if they invest overseas,</p>
<p>13) and he wants to increase exports,</p>
<p>14) but being competitive in the global markets often means having part of your production near your markets, which is why many companies have opened production facilities abroad and many foreign companies (BMW and Honda, for example) have opened their facilities here,</p>
<p>15) so he’ll make these companies less competitive, meaning less able to export anything that might be paired with some other product the company makes abroad in order to attract buyers,</p>
<p>16) and it also means he’ll have the U.S. ignoring many of the international trading rules of which we have been the principal sponsor since the end of WWII, rules that have led to an incredible growth in widely shared wealth all over the planet,</p>
<p>17) which means that, if he follows through, he’ll blow up the post-WWII global economic system,</p>
<p>18) which in the very short run may help the uncompetitive American labor unions but in the not-so-long run would devastate every economy on earth,</p>
<p>19) but it would also mean he would be in a position to decide where big companies could invest, and when, just as he’ll be in control of all new and small businesses, too,</p>
<p>20) meanwhile he is going to tell states and localities what their budget priorities should be,</p>
<p>21) and make them adopt his policies for running their schools, leaving me to wonder, when he’s through, what won’t he control?</p>
<p>I believe that’s what I heard the president advocate last night. But one term I didn’t hear, maybe I missed it: “The Constitution.” Then again, wasn’t he suggesting that, in brave times like these, we need to put aside those old rules. Do I have this straight?</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Obama is such an easy target that it&#8217;s a shame the Republicans are determined to kill only each other</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/23/obama-is-such-an-easy-target-that-its-a-shame-the-republicans-are-determined-to-kill-only-each-other/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/23/obama-is-such-an-easy-target-that-its-a-shame-the-republicans-are-determined-to-kill-only-each-other/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 16:38:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bookworm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Congress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newt Gingrich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SOTU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State of the Union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victimhood]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bookwormroom.com/?p=21011</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We can expect tomorrow night&#8217;s State of the Union address to be an action-packed hour (or so) of vitriol and self-pity.  Obama will cherry-pick a few numbers about the 1% and then whine about how he&#8217;s been trying really hard to destroy that same 1%, but that a vast array of insurmountable obstacles &#8212; Congress, [...]]]></description>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/800px-Barack_Obama_in_the_Oval_Office_April_2010.jpg"><img class="aligncenter  wp-image-21012" title="Barack Obama -- small and helpless" src="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/800px-Barack_Obama_in_the_Oval_Office_April_2010-300x199.jpg" alt="" width="210" height="139" /></a></p>
<p>We can expect tomorrow night&#8217;s State of the Union address to be an action-packed hour (or so) of vitriol and self-pity.  Obama will cherry-pick a few numbers about the 1% and then whine about how he&#8217;s been trying really hard to destroy that same 1%, but that a vast array of insurmountable obstacles &#8212; Congress, Republicans, the media, the American people, the Jews &#8212; have prevented him from doing so.  In a most-read piece, Joseph Curl explains what <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/22/curl-the-truly-dismal-state-of-the-union/" target="_blank">Obama will be hiding</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The unemployment rate when <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/barack-obama/">Mr. Obama</a> was elected was 6.8 percent; today it is 8.5 percent — at least that’s the official number. In reality, <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/financial-times/">the Financial Times</a> writes, “if the same number of people were seeking work today as in 2007, the jobless rate would be 11 percent.”</p>
<p>In addition, there are now fewer payroll jobs in America than there were in 2000 — 12 years ago — and now, 40 percent of those jobs are considered “low paying,” up 10 percent from when President <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/ronald-reagan/">Reagan</a> took office. The number of self-employed has dropped 2 million to 14.5 million in just six years.</p>
<p>Regular gasoline per gallon cost $1.68 in January 2009. Today, it’s $3.39 — that’s a 102 percent increase in just three years. (By the way, if you’re keeping score at home, gas was $1.40 a gallon when <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/george-w-bush/">George W. Bush</a> took office in 2001, $1.68 when he left office — a 20 percent increase.)</p>
<p>Electricity bills have also skyrocketed, with households now paying a record $1,420 annually on average, up some $300.</p>
<p>Some 48 percent of all Americans — 146.4 million — are considered by the Census Bureau either as “low-income” or living in poverty, up 4 million from when <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/barack-obama/">Mr. Obama</a> took office; 57 percent of all children in America now live in such homes.</p></blockquote>
<p>And that&#8217;s not even the half of it.  You can read the rest <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/22/curl-the-truly-dismal-state-of-the-union/" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>In this target-rich environment, the tone-deaf Mitt Romney is attacking . . . Newt.  This is why Newt is surging.  While Mitt attacks him, Newt, although he too has taken too many time-outs for vicious internecine warfare, hasn&#8217;t forgotten that the American people care about the economy and national security.  Even Newt, though, could step up the attacks on Obama.  It&#8217;s like shooting fish in a barrel.</p>
<p>And here&#8217;s a judo-style suggestion for dealing with all of Obama&#8217;s victim talk:</p>
<blockquote><p><span style="color: #000000;">President Obama claims that the media misrepresents him, Republicans are evil, Congress is obstructionist, and the American people are lazy.  These are the reasons, he says, that he has been unable to implement his agenda.  It&#8217;s not his fault; it&#8217;s everyone else&#8217;s fault.  </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Well, let&#8217;s assume, solely for the sake of argument, that everything the President says about the obstacles facing him is true.  That assumed truth leads to one, and only one possible question:  What the heck type of a leader is President Obama?  By his own admission, he is unable to handle anyone or anything that stands in his way.  This isn&#8217;t just an inability to handle the 3 am phone call.  Instead, this is the inability even to pick up the phone.  </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">The man who occupies the highest leadership position in the land &#8212; indeed, in the world &#8212; has repeatedly conceded that he isn&#8217;t up to the job.</span>  Since he&#8217;s not going to quit, it&#8217;s up to you, the American people, to fire him.  And when you replace him, I&#8217;m the man for the job because&#8230;.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Wendell Romney</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/11/wendell-romney/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2012/01/11/wendell-romney/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 03:11:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Presidential elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FDR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marxism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wendell Willkie]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Does history repeat itself? I fervently hope not. Ok, I have grudgingly thrown my support behind Mitt Romney. It&#8217;s not that I am excited about Romney as a candidate, but I am genuinely excited about the need to get Obama out of office before he does irreversible damage to this country. But, here is where [...]]]></description>
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<p>Does history repeat itself? I fervently hope not.</p>
<p>Ok, I have grudgingly thrown my support behind Mitt Romney. It&#8217;s not that I am excited about Romney as a candidate, but I am genuinely excited about the need to get Obama out of office before he does irreversible damage to this country. But, here is where I see a problem:</p>
<p>In one corner, we have a radical Marxist/Progressive, with little to no understanding of human nature and economics, who is on a tear to totally transform society to fit a bankrupt utopian ideology. In the process, he destroys jobs, strips companies of investment capital, destroys human capital, demonizes success, romanticizes failure, takes command of and promptly ruins entire segments of the economy, undermines the Constitution, blatantly disregards the law and does his very best to bankrupt the country while redefining entire segments of the population as dependent wards of the state.</p>
<p>In the other corner, we have a square-jawed, well-coiffed, highly intelligent, erudite and successful businessman who made his mark in an industry demonized and under constant assault by the President. Formerly a Liberal, he now claims to be a Conservative, although large swaths of the Republican party refuse to accept his supposed conversion to conservatism as sincere. He is a nice, rational man who believes in using soft-spoken discourse to sway people and find common ground. Rather than go on a blistering attack in support of the capitalist, free-enterprise economy, he ends up trying to placate the population with his moderation and management credentials, while fending off internal strife within the Republican Party between those that promote strong advocacy of conservative principles and those seeking an accommodationist &#8220;middle way&#8221;. In many ways, he remains tone deaf to how others perceive him to be and how they react to his awkward choices of words.</p>
<p>This man of whom I speak was Wendell Willkie. He ran against FDR in 1940 and got creamed by 5 million votes. Now, I realize there are many differences between then and now, but take a look at these photos below and please tell me they don&#8217;t suggest a spooky echo of the past. </p>
<div class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 190px"><a href="http://www.usfamily.net/web/timwalker/images/ww3.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.usfamily.net/web/timwalker/images/ww3.jpg" width="180" height="280" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Wendell Willkie</p></div>
<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 100px"><a href="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/01tJ3QJ8KH4uq/90x90.jpg?center=0.5,0"><img alt="" src="http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/01tJ3QJ8KH4uq/90x90.jpg?center=0.5,0" width="90" height="90" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Mitt Romney</p></div>
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		<slash:comments>17</slash:comments>
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		<title>China&#8217;s economy is rosy only if you don&#8217;t mind that it&#8217;s shrinking, corrupt and sometimes deadly</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/12/01/chinas-economy-is-rosy-only-if-you-dont-mind-that-its-shrinking-corrupt-and-dangerous/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/12/01/chinas-economy-is-rosy-only-if-you-dont-mind-that-its-shrinking-corrupt-and-dangerous/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Dec 2011 16:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bookworm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andy Stern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gordon Chang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prison Labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SEUI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slavery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taranto]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Andy Stern, who led the SEIU to its current status as a statist political powerhouse, has a lengthy op-ed in the Wall Street Journal today, touting the wonders of China&#8217;s economic model.  His basic point:  China&#8217;s recent economic surge shows that government should control the economy.  To support this premise, he points, not to China&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
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<p>Andy Stern, who led the SEIU to its current status as a statist political powerhouse, has a lengthy op-ed in the Wall Street Journal today, touting <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204630904577056490023451980.html" target="_blank">the wonders of China&#8217;s economic model</a>.  His basic point:  China&#8217;s recent economic surge shows that government should control the economy.  To support this premise, he points, not to China&#8217;s current economic status, but to its wondrous five year plan:</p>
<blockquote><p>I was part of a U.S.-China dialogue—a trip organized by the China-United States Exchange Foundation and the Center for American Progress—with high-ranking Chinese government officials, both past and present. For me, the tension resulting from the chorus of American criticism paled in significance compared to reading the emerging outline of China&#8217;s 12th five-year plan. The aims: a 7% annual economic growth rate; a $640 billion investment in renewable energy; construction of six million homes; and expanding next-generation IT, clean-energy vehicles, biotechnology, high-end manufacturing and environmental protection—all while promoting social equity and rural development.</p></blockquote>
<p>Gosh!  Propaganda really sounds good when it&#8217;s read out loud to an adoring, credulous audience.</p>
<div id="attachment_20183" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 233px"><a href="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/559px-Andystern.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-20183 " title="Andy Stern" src="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/559px-Andystern-279x300.jpg" alt="" width="223" height="240" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Andy Stern</p></div>
<p>I&#8217;d like to introduce Mr. Stern to <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2011/11/27/can-china-rescue-its-economy/" target="_blank">another article about the Chinese economy</a>, this one by Gordon Chang, a <a href="http://www.gordonchang.com/information.htm" target="_blank">veteran China watcher</a> who&#8217;s actually paying attention to the details.  Mr. Chang&#8217;s take, which is premised upon actual facts, not wishful thinking is a little different.  With a wealth of detail, he points out that, as with all socialist experiments, China is running out of economic gas:</p>
<blockquote><p>On Wednesday, HSBC roiled markets around the world by releasing its Flash China Purchasing Managers’ Index for November. The widely followed indicator dropped from 51.0 to 48.1, crossing the crucial line of 50 that divides expansion from contraction. Most worrisome, it appears that the factory sector is shrinking due to weakness in domestic, as opposed to export, orders.</p>
<p>The drop in the HSBC Index, which normally moves only tenths of a point at a time, is just another sign that the world’s second-largest economy is contracting from one month to the next. The troubling news follows October numbers, which also pointed toward a rapid falloff. There was, for instance, a sharp decline in inflation, collapsing real estate prices, and a big decrease in bellwether car sales. The wheels are coming off the Chinese economy, with indicators dropping faster than virtually all analysts—including me—predicted.</p>
<p>Chinese technocrats have already started to react, applying monetary measures. The People’s Bank of China, the central bank, this month cut its required reserve ratio for 20 co-operative banks to 16.0%, a reduction of a half point. Officials maintained that this move did not represent a change in their tightening policy, but, as Tom Holland of the South China Morning Post points out, the denial “stretches credulity.” PBOC watchers, therefore, see the limited relaxation as a hint that the institution will soon cut reserve requirements, now at historic highs, for all banks.</p></blockquote>
<p>You can &#8212; and should &#8212; read the whole thing <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2011/11/27/can-china-rescue-its-economy/" target="_blank">here</a>, and then go back and compare it&#8217;s tight focus on real world economic facts and figures with Stern&#8217;s airy-fairy press release on behalf of Communism.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/800px-Factory_in_China.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-20184" title="Chinese Factory" src="http://www.bookwormroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/800px-Factory_in_China-300x210.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="210" /></a></p>
<p>Let me toss one more thing into the mix here, which is <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203833104577070471837504392.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_MIDDLETopOpinion" target="_blank">James&#8217; Taranto&#8217;s masterful take-down</a> of Eugene Robinson&#8217;s love letter to China&#8217;s heavy-handed economic management:</p>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-china-that-needs-cheers-not-jeers/2011/11/29/gIQAy6CEAO_story.html" target="_blank"> <strong>You Say Tomato, I Say &#8216;the Usually Large Rounded Typically Red or Yellow Pulpy Berry of an Herb (Genus <em>Lycopersicon)</em> of the Nightshade Family&#8217;</strong> </a></p>
<p>Washington Post columnist Eugene Robinson is in Red China, where his shoe-leather reporting has turned up evidence that . . . Republicans are stupid. Seriously, that&#8217;s the subject of the first of what he promises will be several columns filed from Beijing. Let&#8217;s examine his closing argument, which responds to a quote from Rick Perry:</p>
<blockquote><p>But this ignores the big picture. Yes, China is governed&#8211;in an authoritarian, repressive, at times shockingly brutal manner&#8211;by a regime that calls itself communist. But communism self-immolated two decades ago. Walk down any commercial street in Beijing and you see storefronts, venders and hawkers selling anything under the sun. Communism is no longer a system in China. It&#8217;s just a brand name that officials haven&#8217;t figured out how to ditch.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m aware, of course, of the shameful human rights violations that the Chinese government commits every day&#8211;and of the government&#8217;s selfish, corrupt insistence on maintaining a monopoly of power. These atrocities can never be forgotten.</p>
<p>But I&#8217;m betting that the burgeoning middle class will find a way to cast off these shackles. The correct response would be to cheer them on.So, to recap: China&#8217;s Communist Party has already abandoned communist economics for something that looks very much like American commercialism. Politically, however, it remains a brutal and corrupt one-party state. But that can&#8217;t last. Robinson both thinks and hopes that the Chinese people will rise up and change the regime.</p></blockquote>
<p>OK, now here&#8217;s the Perry quote: &#8220;I happen to think that the Communist Chinese government will end up on the ash heap of history.&#8221;</p>
<p>Perry said the same thing Robinson did, only much more pithily and memorably. How does that make Robinson the smart one?</p></blockquote>
<p>And just in case anyone has forgotten that the Chinese economy also runs on <a href="http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/united-states/china-prison-labor-us-china-commission-report-7788.html" target="_blank">slave labor</a> (a peculiar thing for a former SEIU head to laud) and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Chinese_milk_scandal" target="_blank">criminal</a> <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/2007-04-26-pet-food-china_N.htm" target="_blank">corruption</a>, the links I just gave you ought to refresh your recollection.</p>
<p>My bottom line:  Feudal, slave and communist economies all function the same way, which is to have a powerful central controls system over labor.  It enriches a few, and impoverishes the many, both physically and spiritually.  Even if it looks good on paper, it&#8217;s bad for the soul.</p>
<p>(Chinese factory photo by <a href="http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Factory_in_China.jpg" target="_blank">High Contrast</a>.)</p>
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		<title>CBO consults with Bookworm Room, revises forecasts!</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/06/22/cbo-consults-with-bookworm-room-revises-forecasts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/06/22/cbo-consults-with-bookworm-room-revises-forecasts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jun 2011 22:25:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CBO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ObamaCare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Oh dear, it appears the CBO has turned a tad pessimistic about its earlier prognostications on the economy, stimulus and ObamaCare, heralded as dogma and chiseled in stone tablets on the alters of the Left&#8217;s Temple of Orthodoxy. &#160; Drinks all around for the Bookworm Room denizens that correctly anticipated the outcomes cited herein. It [...]]]></description>
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<p>Oh dear, it appears the CBO has turned a tad pessimistic about its earlier prognostications on the economy, stimulus and ObamaCare, heralded as dogma and chiseled in stone tablets on the alters of the Left&#8217;s Temple of Orthodoxy.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Drinks all around for the Bookworm Room denizens that correctly anticipated the outcomes cited herein. It appears that we are better read and even more astute than we thought, even though (I suspect) most (97% &#8211; a consensus!) of us do not generally listen to NPR but watch FOX News Channel instead. I am pleased, I must say, to have our very succinct analyses of these highly complex situations confirmed by such an august body that has clearly demonstrated an intellectual honesty by letting us change its mind. Perhaps the IPCC will now deign to do the same.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve linked to a summary that provides the direct link to the most recent CBO report. You can catch the gist of the CBO report in the report&#8217;s summary.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a title="Revised downward CBO projection" href="http://hotair.com/archives/2011/06/22/cbo-long-term-budget-outlook-the-futures-not-looking-so-hot/" target="_blank">http://hotair.com/archives/2011/06/22/cbo-long-term-budget-outlook-the-futures-not-looking-so-hot/</a></p>
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		<title>The Business of China and U.S.</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/05/10/the-business-of-china-and-u-s/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/05/10/the-business-of-china-and-u-s/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2011 16:24:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Spectator]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[small business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Given this blog&#8217;s recent flogging of the China versus U.S. (&#8220;us&#8221;) question, here is  a primary example of how China may surpass the U.S. by becoming more business friendly as it decentralizes while the U.S. risks having to learn the lessons of socialist history all over again as our over-regulated economy grinds down to a [...]]]></description>
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<p>Given this blog&#8217;s recent flogging of the China versus U.S. (&#8220;us&#8221;) question, here is  a primary example of how China may surpass the U.S. by becoming more business friendly as it decentralizes while the U.S. risks having to learn the lessons of socialist history all over again as our over-regulated economy grinds down to a slow crawl.</p>
<p>In this linked article at the <em>American Spectator</em>, an entrepreneur compares and contrasts the difficulties of and disincentives for creating new businesses in our country, under our increasingly socialist, statist form of governance.</p>
<p><a title="Business in China versus U.S." href="http://spectator.org/archives/2011/05/10/killing-manufacturing" target="_blank">http://spectator.org/archives/2011/05/10/killing-manufacturing</a></p>
<p>Money quote: &#8220;Now, this is China so the government and the state share 30% of your business, but considering the ease of entry, increased in-country sales and helpful attitude, this is a small price to pay, especially considering America&#8217;s 35% plus corporate tax rates.&#8221;</p>
<p>Here, the author makes an excellent point: when the State demands 35% of a company&#8217;s earnings (I believe that Mafia shake-down artists usually demand a smaller percentage in protection money, but I may be wrong), the State <em>de facto </em>owns a 35% equity interest in the company&#8230;with only one major difference: it shares 0% of the risk borne by shareholders.</p>
<p>Is America on the road to becoming a socialist paradise like, say, Europe&#8217;s former Soviet Block during the 1960s? Naaah&#8230;don&#8217;t think so! Our future will not be one of mythical straight-line Progessive projections.</p>
<p>I predict instead that, given American individual initiative and creativity, our trajectory will be more like that of an Argentina &#8211; once a leading economic jewel, now a pathetic, tired, broke 3rd-world backwater. In such economic environs, two groups will prosper: the government-sanctioned nomenklatura and those clever and adept enough to profit from the inevitable underground economy.</p>
<p>Sad story!</p>
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		<title>Democratic Exhaustion</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/17/democratic-exhaustion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/17/democratic-exhaustion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Apr 2011 22:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tea Parties]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Democracy]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Is our democracy germinating the seeds of its own destruction? Alexis de Toqueville warned, &#8220;The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public&#8217;s money.&#8221; That day has come. It is not yet gone. Democracy  in ancient Athens lasted about 250 years. We in the United [...]]]></description>
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<p>Is our democracy germinating the seeds of its own destruction?</p>
<p>Alexis de Toqueville warned, &#8220;The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public&#8217;s money.&#8221; That day has come. It is not yet gone.</p>
<p>Democracy  in ancient Athens lasted about 250 years. We in the United States are at about that same point in our history today. In Europe, alas, democracy came but as a short, brief whimper in time. Now, post-Lisbon, it is gone&#8230;at a national scale and, very soon, at the local level, too.  EUro democracy &#8211; so <em>ancien regime</em>! In EUrope, the new aristocracy is already taking form, with power centered in Brussels and Strasbourg. In America, our own Washington, DC-centered aristocrat wannabees remain diffuse and riven by competing factions, but they are there and waiting.</p>
<p>What went wrong? I propose that the primary seed of our destruction lies in our own human nature. It is the &#8220;tragedy of the commons&#8221; writ large. The tragedy of the commons, formulated by ecologist Garrett Hardin in the 1960s, describes the dynamic whereby individuals and other animals, when confronted with limited resources, have a self-interest in expropriating the maximum amount of those resource for themselves while they can, thereby hastening the resource&#8217;s destruction. The tragedy of the commons is neatly summarized by Illinois&#8217; <em>de facto</em> state motto, &#8220;where&#8217;s mine?&#8221; (with a respectful hat tip to <em>Chicago Tribune</em> editorialist John Kass).</p>
<p>I suspect that, deep down, many serious people in America&#8217;s contending factions (Left, conservative, Democrat, Republican, Libertarian) believe that we are now in the end game and that we are thus witnessing a mad, vicious scramble by traditional Democrat constituencies (e.g., public sector unions) to secure to themselves as much wealth and political power as possible before the inevitable financial collapse. The primal screams and vile demagoguery harmonized by the howling mobs of Wisconsin, Greece, France and Britain (or from our Commander in Chief, for that matter) are but the beginning of this process. Change can be ugly when people lose hope!</p>
<p>&#8220;Where&#8217;s mine?&#8221;</p>
<p>It still remains incredible for me to contemplate how we in the West, endowed with the richest standards of living every conceived in human history, still could not find satisfaction from living within our means. The wails and tribulations of the Left notwithstanding, all groups in America are living far better material standards of living than they did 25, 50 or 100 years ago or than the vast majority of our world enjoys today. How could we not find it within ourselves to be grateful for and respectful of what our forebears built and accumulated as their legacy for us. Indeed, our unparalleled wealth and quality of life appears only to have fueled resentment of &#8220;the other&#8221; in tandem with an exponential growth in our appetites and expectations. Thus have we now come to the point of destroying ourselves and our inheritors through impossible debt obligations, gained in our quest for ever more lucre and comfort gained on other peoples&#8217; dimes.</p>
<p>&#8220;Where&#8217;s mine?&#8221;</p>
<p>So today, confronted with hard choices on whether to cut back on our expectations and regenerate the wealth that we have lost on one hand (the Paul Ryan plan) and a mad scramble to secure our own selfish claims upon the commons before its dissolution, our country confronts the fork in the road that, as Yogi Berra put it, must be taken.</p>
<p>Why do I suspect that earlier in our democracy, when government was not expected to fulfill everyone&#8217;s economic and social needs, a national belt-tightening to confront an existential crisis would hardly have been considered controversial. A split electorate today, unfortunately, does not bode well for constructive solutions. From my limited perspective, I suspect that 25% of our population seems committed to the conviction that the government&#8217;s largesse can continue forever and another 25% (public employee unions, Liberals, Democrat politicians) cynically manipulates events to amass all it can before the inevitable collapse.</p>
<p>&#8220;Where&#8217;s mine?&#8221;</p>
<p>I propose, however, that these manipulators on the Left and their followers are fundamentally mistaken in the following ways:</p>
<p>One is to believe that whatever political and financial power they accumulate in these days will translate into power and wealth in the future. I don&#8217;t think so. You can&#8217;t, for example, pay pensions on the back of a collapsed market economy. You can&#8217;t fund ObamaCare promises through foreign largesse. Princely union boss salaries will be worthless when union members inevitably catch on to their betrayal and they, too, ultimately depend upon a healthy private sector economy.</p>
<p>Two, we can never really predict the future.  Revolutions lead to unpredictable ends and often end-up eating their own. Anarchists and Democrats can try to collapse the system, perhaps, but nobody can know what will replace it.</p>
<p>Three, the real threat to our society today is not our debt but the destruction of our debt capacity. Debt capacity refers to our ability to absorb more debt in response to crises: for me, for example, debt capacity is represented by my home equity line of credit, to be drawn upon in emergencies. We can be guaranteed that our Western civilization will face serious crises that will threaten our very existence. With our home equity line exhausted, from whence will we find the capital resources to fund our survival? How will we build back from the rubble?</p>
<p>When FDR embarked on his wildly irresponsible debt-financed financial adventures, our country&#8217;s ability to absorb debt was still great by the time WWII arrived. We survived and, as a result, thrived. I am not so certain that we could do so today. Not to veer too far off path, but does anyone else get the sense that the ineffectual flounderings of the U.S. and our NATO allies in Libya, a misbegotten economic and military backwater of 6.5 million people, hardly reflect the actions of robust democracies?</p>
<p>I sense that our Western democracies have reached a point of exhaustion. Perhaps this reflects the natural lifespan of democracies. I hope not. The Ryan blueprint presents our 50:50 nation with an existential fork in the road. We shall soon discover the true strength of our national fiber. Will we tighten our belts, retrench and expand the national and global commons as we have in the past&#8230;or will we intensify our mad struggles to secure dwindling remnants thereof to ourselves? If the latter, then our democratic experiment will truly be at an end. And that would be a tragedy.</p>
<p><em>I do not say that democracy has been more pernicious on the whole, and in the long run, than monarchy or aristocracy. Democracy has never been and never can be so durable as aristocracy or monarchy; but while it lasts, it is more bloody than either. … Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide. It is in vain to say that democracy is less vain, less proud, less selfish, less ambitious, or less avaricious than aristocracy or monarchy. It is not true, in fact, and nowhere appears in history. Those passions are the same in all men, under all forms of simple government, and when unchecked, produce the same effects of fraud, violence, and cruelty. When clear prospects are opened before vanity, pride, avarice, or ambition, for their easy gratification, it is hard for the most considerate philosophers and the most conscientious moralists to resist the temptation. Individuals have conquered themselves. Nations and large bodies of men, never. </em></p>
<p><em>- John Adams</em></p>
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		<title>San Francisco discovers free enterprise</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/14/san-francisco-discovers-free-enterprise/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/14/san-francisco-discovers-free-enterprise/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Apr 2011 15:13:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bookworm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[class warfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hypocrisy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[San Francisco is definitely up in the top five when it comes to &#8220;most Progressively governed cities in America.&#8221;  No surprise, then, that the city&#8217;s finances are in a shambles.  What is a surprise is the fact that, faced with a looming budget collapse, the City has suddenly discovered capitalist incentives:  it&#8217;s offering the big [...]]]></description>
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<p>San Francisco is definitely up in the top five when it comes to &#8220;most Progressively governed cities in America.&#8221;  No surprise, then, that the city&#8217;s finances are in a shambles.  What is a surprise is the fact that, faced with a looming budget collapse, the City has suddenly discovered capitalist incentives:  <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/04/14/BU6Q1IVP38.DTL&amp;tsp=1" target="_blank">it&#8217;s offering the big employers tax cuts to stay in the City</a>.</p>
<p>This is a smart move on San Francisco&#8217;s part.  (And I can&#8217;t believe I wrote that sentence about the City that doesn&#8217;t know how.)  The Leftists may call them &#8220;the rich people&#8221; or &#8220;blood sucking corporations,&#8221; but I have another name for them:  employers.  The City has discovered that if you constantly penalize employers, <em>they go away</em>.</p>
<p>As Obama&#8217;s vicious, dishonest budget speech shows, he hasn&#8217;t yet come to that little realization.  Nor, despite his intellectual common ground with Tom Friedman, has he seemed to realize that Friedman is right about one thing:  the earth is indeed flat.  In the old days, employers had nowhere to run to and nowhere to hide.  Now, the corporations can go to all the other socialist countries that have lower corporate tax rates than the U.S., while individuals simply bid a fond adieu to their natal land.</p>
<p>I realized today that what makes Obama&#8217;s class warfare even more disgusting is that he makes no attempt to pretend that he&#8217;s one of the little people.  As I read in Ronald Kessler&#8217;s <em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/030746136X/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=bookwormroom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=030746136X">In the President&#8217;s Secret Service: Behind the Scenes with Agents in the Line of Fire and the Presidents They Protect</a><img style="border: none !important; margin: 0px !important;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=bookwormroom-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=030746136X" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></em>, when Jimmy Carter, the last president who presided over such a disastrous economy, paraded around carrying his own suitcase, it was pure theater:  the suitcase was empty.  Nevertheless, he made the effort.</p>
<p>Obama, however, doesn&#8217;t bother.  Even as he demagogues about the fat cats, stopping just short of demanding their heads on pikes, he openly revels in the kind of lifestyle only the very rich can afford.  While he lectures us about heat and air-c0nditioning, he keeps his White House digs at 75 all year round; while he tells us to trade in our tried and true cars for expensive hybrids, he and his family jet all over the world on exotic vacations, traveling in gas guzzlers everywhere they go; while he &#8220;commiserates&#8221; with our belt tightening, he and his family dine on lobster, Kobe beef, and <em>foie gras</em>.  His arrogance is so overweening that he assumes that he is entitled to these luxuries &#8212; at our expense, of course &#8212; even as he insists that we cut back, tone done, retrench and, of course, destroy our employer class.</p>
<p>Putz isn&#8217;t a strong enough word, but it&#8217;s the only one I&#8217;ll use on my PG blog.</p>
<p>Cross-posted at <a href="http://rightwingnews.com/" target="_blank">Right Wing News</a></p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><em>The Bookworm Turns : A Secret Conservative in Liberal Land</em>,<br />
available in e-format for $4.99 at <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Bookworm-Turns-Conservative-Liberal-ebook/dp/B004UN5A5I/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1302479487&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">Amazon</a> or <a href="http://www.smashwords.com/books/view/49940" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>.</p>
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		<title>EUro Dis-union</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/04/euro-disunion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/04/04/euro-disunion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Apr 2011 23:57:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deficits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[One of my all-time favorite economic historians is Harvard&#8217;s Niall Ferguson, who does a very good job dissecting the transatlantic political and economic cultures with characteristic British clarity in erudition. He&#8217;s not perfect, however: witness his bad judgment in affixing his name to a worn-out political rag like Newsweek. But, I digress&#8230; In this nonetheless excellent [...]]]></description>
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<p>One of my all-time favorite economic historians is Harvard&#8217;s Niall Ferguson, who does a very good job dissecting the transatlantic political and economic cultures with characteristic British clarity in erudition.</p>
<p>He&#8217;s not perfect, however: witness his bad judgment in affixing his name to a worn-out political rag like<em> Newsweek</em>. But, I digress&#8230;</p>
<p>In this nonetheless excellent article, he concisely chronicles the descent and impending collapse of the EUro-zone banking system and its political repercussions.  Some might take solace in the fact that EUro-banking and welfare systems will collapse ahead of our own, but I don&#8217;t. Our economic well-being is very much entwined with Europe&#8217;s. One notable benefit that Ferguson does confer upon us is to clearly differentiate between Europe&#8217;s impending banking system collapse and our own fiscal and economic crises: these are two very independent phenomena, albeit derived from the same disease (i.e., living way beyond our means). What cannot be denied, however, is that Western civilization is about to confront a very massive economic upheaval that will have dramatic social and political consequences.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.newsweek.com/2011/04/03/murder-on-the-eu-express.html" target="_blank">Read it for yourselves and let&#8217;s discuss.</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Bankrupt generations?</title>
		<link>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/02/19/bankrupt-generations/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bookwormroom.com/2011/02/19/bankrupt-generations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2011 15:47:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny Lemieux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retirement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[savings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bookwormroom.com/?p=15926</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#8217;s an excellent article in the WSJ about the challenges that retiring baby boomers face as 401(k)s fail to meet their retirement needs. I don&#8217;t know if this can be accessed without an online subscription to the WSJ, so to summarize&#8230;buffeted by two major stock market crashes, most baby boomers on the cusp of retirement [...]]]></description>
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<p>There&#8217;s <a href="http://http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703959604576152792748707356.html?mod=WSJ_PersonalFinance_PF2#articleTabs%3Darticle" target="_blank">an excellent article</a> in the WSJ about the challenges that retiring baby boomers face as 401(k)s fail to meet their retirement needs.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know if this can be accessed without an online subscription to the WSJ, so to summarize&#8230;buffeted by two major stock market crashes, most baby boomers on the cusp of retirement don&#8217;t have close to what they need (median 401(k) for  the 60+ age bracket is about $150,000).</p>
<p>The letters are especially interesting for what they reveal about peoples&#8217; generational attitudes.</p>
<p>As examples of sentiments encountered:</p>
<ul>
<li>The &#8220;Greatest Generation&#8221; was really a generation of moochers all too happy to fund their retirements and other obligations on the back of the taxpayers.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>People will need far less income upon which to retire comfortably than financial planners claim (very good back and forth arguments on that point).</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Baby boomers should stop whining about their plight as it was they who got themselves into it.</li>
</ul>
<p>I find that last point interesting from the perspective of what it means to be living &#8220;paycheck-to-paycheck&#8221;. For many people I know, this definition encompasses the need to pay-off massive credit card and other debts accumulated whilst purchasing toys, vacations, entertainment and all other expensive lifestyle expenses that many have come to view as entitlements.</p>
<p>Does this square with your observations, or am I being too harsh?</p>
<p>I ask this because my amazing spouse and I have been fairly heavy savers and have denied ourselves many of these pleasures during the years when we raised children. Yet I know that, inevitably, the gimlet eyes of those who lived high on the hog when times were good but failed to prepare for their future will turn their focus on our savings as the solution to their penury.</p>
<p>UPDATE **********</p>
<p>HT/Sadie</p>
<p><a href="http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/the-damage-obama-has-done/" target="_blank">This</a> is too good of a summary not to include in the post:</p>
<p>Thanks, SADIE.</p>
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