Climate change Chicken Littles look at ordinary phenomenon and extrapolate their way to Armageddon

Approximately every ten years, Marin County floods.  Thinking back, the last big flood year in our neighborhood was around 2002 or 2003.  I remember taking the kids down from the hill on which we live to the marshy flat-lands nearby.  We waded through water that came up past our knees.  This high water was a combination of heavy rain and unusually high tides.

This year, those unusually high tides are back (as they invariably are).  Fortunately, they’re not coinciding with a wet storm, so we won’t have any serious coastal flooding:

San Anselmo flood 2005

This week, California will experience the highest tides of the year, peaking on Thursday morning in a condition known as “king tides.” At 9:45 a.m. Wednesday, 10:34 a.m. Thursday and 11:24 a.m. Friday some of the year’s highest tides — 7 feet and above, about a foot higher than normal — will hit Marin’s shorelines.

Water will lap high in Corte Madera, along Richardson Bay and at Gallinas Creek just north of China Camp, among other spots in the county.

[snip]

King tides occur several times a year, although this week’s are the biggest of 2012.

Luckily for coastal residents, this week’s tides aren’t expected to cause significant flooding because they are happening during relatively calm weather.

“Flooding would be a concern if we had a storm system coming through,” said Matt Mehle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.

The fact that this is an ordinary event hasn’t stopped the resident Chicken Littles from screaming about the global warming sky falling:

chicken-little

The gravitational tug of the moon and sun, not climate change, is responsible for the extreme tides. But volunteers with cameras across the state are using the event to document what California could look like in the coming decades as the warming Earth continues to raise sea levels.

This overwrought reaction is a reminder that you really can’t change a monomaniac’s mind.  It’s no use telling your average obsessed Climate Changer that, throughout the earth’s lifespan, the water has risen and the water has fallen again.  Glaciers have advanced and retreated. Deserts have become forests and forests have become deserts. The earth is a dynamic system.

Humans can definitely affect their immediate surrounding, whether it’s early man hunting the Mammoth to extinction or modern factories destroying all of the surrounding ecology.  As the Earth’s caretakers, it’s foolish and short-sighted of us willfully to destroy our own environment.  The more responsible we are, the better for us and for our children.

Global water levels, though, are bigger than we are, and they are timeless. Indeed, this seems like a very good moment to bring to your attention an article positing that it was glacial retreat that caused the flood that led Noah to build his Ark:

Noah's Ark

A flood of Biblical proportions just like in the story of Noah’s Ark may have actually happened, according to the oceanographer who found the Titanic.

Acclaimed underwater archaeologist Robert Ballard claims his team of researchers have uncovered evidence that suggests The Great Flood described in the Bible was actually based on real events.

Mr Ballard told how he investigated a controversial theory proposed by two scientists from Columbia University that there was a massive flood in the Black Sea region.

In an interview with ABC News, he said around 12,000 years ago much of the world was covered in ice and the Black Sea had been a freshwater lake surrounded by farmland.

But when the glaciers began to melt during a warming period in the cycle of the Earth’s temperature around 5600BC water rushed toward the world’s oceans, Mr Ballard said.

This, he claimed, caused floods all around the world and water cascaded through Turkey’s Straits of Bosporus towards the Black Sea.

If the seas do continue to rise, it will affect the way we live.  But trying to de-industrialize America will not stop the seas from rising.  These AGW Chicken Littles show megalomaniacal arrogance insofar as they believe that we puny humans can change weather cycles that happened with relentless regularity for billions of years.

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Comments

  1. Wolf Howling says

    1.  Next time someone mentions “sea level rise,” point them to the fact that the satellite data on which claims of current sea level rise are based have been acknowledged by NASA as lacking any sort of base reference point, thus rendering all claims unproven.  See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/12/03/why-ice-loss-and-sea-level-measurements-via-satellite-and-the-new-shepard-et-al-paper-are-highly-uncertain-at-the-moment/
    2.  Next time someone speaks of global warming, ask them how much the earth has warmed in the past 16 years.  Answer – zero degrees.  That from the UK’s MET Office a few months ago.  See ww.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released–chart-prove-it.html#ixzz29IJTC82d
    3.  Next, ask them what is the one single underlying assumption of every global warming computer model on which all claims of global warming are based?  Answer – as carbon dioxide levels rise, so will temperatures.  We have had sixteen years of increasing concentrations of CO2, and yet not 1 tenth of a degree of warming, not on land and not at sea (http://wolfhowling.blogspot.com/2012/02/warmie-angst-agw-theory-hanging-by.html and http://wolfhowling.blogspot.com/2012/02/in-post-here-i-pointed-out-that-surface.html
    4.  Finally, ask them, what evidence will it take for them to believe that global warming is a canard – a political movement, not one based in science?  When they go quiet, you might want to explain to them the difference between science and faith.  Maybe they will have an epiphany.
    5.  Hmmm, if you just want to have fun with them, you might want to ask them what is the percentage human activity contributes to  carbon dioxide our atmosphere as opposed to all other naturally occurring sources.  Answer – Of all the sources putting CO2 in our atmosphere annually, humans and the burning of fossil fuels are responsible for all of 3%.  The claim that CO2 is the prime driver of our climate has no basis in geological history.  The earth has been far hotter than it is now, and we are still in the process of coming out of our world’s fifth ice age.  Geologists calculate the end of an ice age as being when the earth is free of year round ice.
     

  2. Charles Martel says

    The most memorable floods in Marin in my memory came in the winter of ’82 when a very wet rainstorm stalled over the county and dropped 10 inches in one night during a king tide. I live in a neighborhood that sits only four feet above sea level, so noticed as I left for work that morning that water was furiously spouting through the holes in the manhole covers on my street.
     
    A few hours later at work, hearing radio reports of very high winds on the Golden Gate Bridge and local flooding in various Marin towns, I left work and told my co-workers that I had a feeling it was now or never for getting home.
     
    I managed to get across the GG Bridge minutes before it was closed down because of wind and low visibility, then wracked my brain for the next hour taking every dinky, out-of-the-way back road I knew to get around street closures that the Highway Patrol and local cops were putting up faster than the spread of communicable disease at an Occupy camp.
     
    Finally made it home, but not before hitting the local Safeway for a couple of salmon filets and a bottle of chardonnay. I set up the grill—dammit, I’m a native Southern Californian and even a supernova can’t keep us from grilling—and my bride and I made ready to ride out the rainstorm in style. (By the this time the street in front of our house was under two feet of water. Fortunately, ours is the high house in the nabe, sitting a lofty five feet above sea level.)
     
    Then the power went out.
     
    No matter. We brought out our trusty Coleman camping lamps, and I consigned the salmon to the charcoal briquet-powered grill. The chardonnay had already been chilling for a couple of hours, so having it sit waiting in the still-cool fridge was no big deal.
     
    We spent the next five or six hours in the semi-dark, enjoying one of the best salmon dinners we’d ever had, sipping a good white, playing Scrabble, reading to each other by Coleman light, and having one high old time. When the lights came back on around 10 that night, both of us spontaneously let out a moan of disappointment. It had been one of the best nights, with or without power, of our lives.
     
    Now if I were a progressive, I would spin an entire philosophy of life around that night, praising how the lack of power made food taste so good and my wife and I draw close together in simple pleasures. But I’m not a progressive. Some good people, using abundant, planet-killing electrical power, fished that salmon, crafted that wine, produced those briquets and Coleman lamps, built our well-insulated refrigerator, and paved the roads that got me home. The break from routine was nice, and made for a great memory. But thank God it never got to be more than a pleasant story, instead of a way of life.
     

  3. MorowbieJukes says

    Robert Ballard is a little late to the game re: the world-wide floods that inspired the flood legend of Noah’s Ark (and Deucalion, Gilgamesh and other flood legends).   Catastrophic world-wide inundations were addressed by Graham Hancock in his book “Underworld” ten years ago.
     
    As the glaciers of the northern hemisphere gradually melted the exterior ice of the glaciers acted as containment vessels for the melted water.  At some point the ice walls structurally failed and a gigantic volume of water was discharge literally at once.  As I recall, when the Canadian glacier walls failed, one million cubic miles of water was discharged in the space of a few hours.  The world-wide sea level would have jumped overnight around 30 feet.  It would have been very much like the tidal surge of a tsunami where the waters do not eventually recede.  This was one of a number of sudden inundations as other glaciers discharged water in a similar manner at the end of the last ice age.  A theory, of course, but based on compelling physical evidence which is cited in the book.
     
    What was very interesting was that the last global inundation agreed closely with the dates for Atlantis.  An Egyptian priest told Plato’s uncle Solon around 500 BC that the great civilization of Atlantis had suddenly sank 9500 years previously, or 12,000 years before our current time.  Atlantis may have been an actual civilization that got submerged by one of these global inundations and inspired an oral tradition or legend that lasted 10,000 years until a written account survived (Plato’s).
     
     

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